⚠️ SIMULATED BACKTEST · NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE · no real money or broker involved
If you'd started with €1,000 on 09 Jul 2026

€1,000 → €907.89

-9.21% vs SPY buy & hold +6.18% · ended 09 Oct 2026
-9.21%Total return
€907.89Final balance
+6.18%SPY buy & hold
104Trades
37.5%Win rate
-12.69%Max drawdown
-3.64Sharpe (ann.)
0.43Profit factor

What would have happened with €1,000

Over these 66 trading days, a bot following these rules would have made 104 day trades on 8 big US stocks/ETFs, and your €1,000 would be about €907.89. Just buying SPY (the S&P 500 ETF) and holding it would have left you with about €1,061.83. The strategy lost money and did worse than doing nothing clever.

With €1,000, most trades would only buy part of a share. Trading 212 supports fractional shares, so this is possible there, and the sizes in the log assume it.

Honest next steps

Trade log (104 trades), tap to open
2026-07-13 NVDA SHORT €+0.08
14:30-16:00 ET · $203.57→$203.52 · 1.633 sh · breakout; news -0.15 (1) → closed at end of day
2026-07-13 SPY SHORT €+0.55
13:30-16:00 ET · $749.66→$749.25 · 1.524 sh · breakout; news -0.18 (5) → closed at end of day
2026-07-14 MSFT LONG €-1.47
11:30-16:00 ET · $385.94→$384.87 · 1.568 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-07-14 AMZN LONG €-0.05
14:30-16:00 ET · $247.47→$247.45 · 3.115 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-07-14 META LONG €-1.68
13:30-16:00 ET · $663.34→$660.95 · 0.800 sh · breakout; news +0.06 (6) → closed at end of day
2026-07-15 MSFT LONG €-1.95
12:30-16:00 ET · $397.77→$395.54 · 1.002 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-07-15 TSLA SHORT €-1.19
12:30-16:00 ET · $392.61→$394.27 · 0.815 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-07-15 AMZN LONG €-1.97
11:30-16:00 ET · $255.93→$254.83 · 2.045 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-07-15 META LONG €+1.14
11:30-16:00 ET · $678.64→$681.14 · 0.518 sh · breakout; news +0.40 (2) → closed at end of day
2026-07-15 QQQ SHORT €-4.84
12:30-16:00 ET · $711.68→$717.83 · 0.899 sh · breakout; news -0.03 (3) → closed at end of day
2026-07-20 AAPL SHORT €-2.29
13:30-16:00 ET · $324.67→$326.77 · 1.248 sh · breakout; news -0.11 (7) → closed at end of day
2026-07-20 MSFT LONG €+5.69
11:30-16:00 ET · $397.77→$402.43 · 1.394 sh · breakout; news -0.01 (4) → closed at end of day
2026-07-20 NVDA SHORT €+0.84
13:30-16:00 ET · $203.75→$203.41 · 2.830 sh · breakout; news +0.04 (5) → closed at end of day
2026-07-20 SPY SHORT €+2.26
13:30-16:00 ET · $743.99→$742.29 · 1.518 sh · breakout; news -0.18 (5) → closed at end of day
2026-07-21 QQQ LONG €-0.93
13:30-16:00 ET · $709.47→$708.81 · 1.602 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-07-22 AAPL SHORT €-4.31
13:30-16:00 ET · $323.60→$325.94 · 2.103 sh · breakout; news -0.31 (2) → closed at end of day
2026-07-22 NVDA LONG €-0.76
11:30-16:00 ET · $212.60→$212.02 · 1.484 sh · breakout; news +0.03 (6) → closed at end of day
2026-07-22 SPY LONG €-3.17
11:30-16:00 ET · $749.57→$747.18 · 1.515 sh · breakout; news +0.01 (7) → closed at end of day
2026-07-22 QQQ LONG €-5.98
11:30-16:00 ET · $709.39→$705.13 · 1.601 sh · breakout; news +0.13 (2) → closed at end of day
2026-07-23 SPY SHORT €-1.40
14:30-16:00 ET · $737.27→$738.32 · 1.518 sh · breakout; news -0.11 (4) → closed at end of day
2026-07-23 QQQ SHORT €+1.31
13:30-16:00 ET · $692.86→$691.94 · 1.616 sh · breakout; news +0.04 (5) → closed at end of day
2026-07-24 AAPL LONG €+1.12
11:30-16:00 ET · $331.84→$333.00 · 1.095 sh · breakout; news +0.27 (5) → closed at end of day
2026-07-27 TSLA SHORT €-2.71
14:30-16:00 ET · $306.38→$309.30 · 1.055 sh · breakout; news -0.10 (5) → closed at end of day
2026-07-27 META SHORT €+3.86
12:30-16:00 ET · $598.90→$594.05 · 0.907 sh · breakout; news -0.11 (2) → closed at end of day
2026-07-29 MSFT LONG €-3.93
11:30-16:00 ET · $394.69→$392.32 · 1.885 sh · breakout; news +0.21 (9) → closed at end of day
2026-07-29 TSLA SHORT €+2.91
12:30-16:00 ET · $300.83→$298.41 · 1.366 sh · breakout; news -0.71 (3) → closed at end of day
2026-07-29 SPY SHORT €-9.19
12:30-14:30 ET · $733.69→$740.54 · 1.529 sh · breakout; news -0.34 (3) → stop-loss
2026-07-30 AMZN LONG €-3.46
12:30-16:00 ET · $238.72→$235.98 · 1.450 sh · breakout; news +0.23 (10) → closed at end of day
2026-08-06 AAPL SHORT €-3.78
11:30-16:00 ET · $310.04→$312.51 · 1.771 sh · breakout; news +0.00 (1) → closed at end of day
2026-08-07 NVDA LONG €-0.85
11:30-16:00 ET · $224.25→$223.94 · 3.065 sh · breakout; news +0.14 (7) → closed at end of day
2026-08-07 TSLA LONG €-3.78
11:30-16:00 ET · $333.27→$328.52 · 0.916 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-07 AMZN LONG €-6.73
11:30-16:00 ET · $278.27→$274.39 · 1.996 sh · breakout; news +0.19 (3) → closed at end of day
2026-08-07 SPY LONG €-1.05
11:30-16:00 ET · $773.81→$772.97 · 1.424 sh · breakout; news +0.14 (3) → closed at end of day
2026-08-07 QQQ LONG €-0.26
11:30-16:00 ET · $722.94→$722.75 · 1.524 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-10 AMZN LONG €-2.80
11:30-16:00 ET · $279.90→$278.02 · 1.726 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-11 AAPL SHORT €-2.43
14:30-16:00 ET · $303.22→$304.96 · 1.605 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-11 NVDA SHORT €-0.53
13:30-16:00 ET · $217.24→$217.52 · 2.186 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-11 AMZN SHORT €-0.80
12:30-16:00 ET · $271.74→$272.33 · 1.551 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-11 QQQ SHORT €-3.16
14:30-16:00 ET · $716.04→$718.48 · 1.492 sh · breakout; news +0.01 (2) → closed at end of day
2026-08-12 AAPL SHORT €-2.53
11:30-16:00 ET · $301.03→$302.29 · 2.324 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-12 META SHORT €+2.27
11:30-16:00 ET · $583.96→$578.97 · 0.524 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-13 MSFT SHORT €-4.35
14:30-16:00 ET · $493.03→$496.91 · 1.295 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-13 TSLA LONG €+5.30
12:30-16:00 ET · $334.66→$340.00 · 1.142 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-17 AAPL SHORT €-5.04
12:30-16:00 ET · $303.50→$305.75 · 2.588 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-17 MSFT SHORT €-0.98
13:30-16:00 ET · $479.22→$480.64 · 0.801 sh · breakout; news -0.01 (9) → closed at end of day
2026-08-17 NVDA LONG €-9.47
11:30-15:30 ET · $227.51→$224.98 · 4.341 sh · breakout; news n/a → stop-loss
2026-08-17 META SHORT €+3.55
11:30-16:00 ET · $574.95→$569.12 · 0.704 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-17 QQQ LONG €-3.82
11:30-12:30 ET · $734.40→$731.38 · 1.466 sh · breakout; news +0.11 (4) → stop-loss
2026-08-18 AAPL LONG €-1.01
12:30-16:00 ET · $310.68→$310.14 · 2.142 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-19 TSLA LONG €+2.70
11:30-16:00 ET · $347.54→$351.04 · 0.893 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-19 AMZN LONG €+2.08
14:30-16:00 ET · $264.49→$265.84 · 1.788 sh · breakout; news +0.04 (9) → closed at end of day
2026-08-20 NVDA SHORT €-2.11
13:30-16:00 ET · $216.26→$217.09 · 2.950 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-20 META SHORT €-4.28
13:30-16:00 ET · $542.45→$545.99 · 1.409 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-08-21 TSLA LONG €-0.35
12:30-16:00 ET · $363.44→$362.81 · 0.638 sh · breakout; news +0.26 (6) → closed at end of day
2026-08-24 MSFT LONG €-2.44
12:30-16:00 ET · $489.24→$487.24 · 1.430 sh · breakout; news +0.11 (7) → closed at end of day
2026-08-25 TSLA LONG €-9.14
11:30-13:30 ET · $354.45→$349.13 · 2.006 sh · breakout; news +0.07 (6) → stop-loss
2026-08-27 AAPL LONG €-0.35
11:30-16:00 ET · $314.72→$314.51 · 1.959 sh · breakout; news +0.03 (3) → closed at end of day
2026-08-27 SPY LONG €+0.49
11:30-16:00 ET · $770.46→$770.89 · 1.352 sh · breakout; news -0.03 (4) → closed at end of day
2026-08-27 QQQ LONG €+1.26
13:30-16:00 ET · $719.90→$720.92 · 1.447 sh · breakout; news +0.00 (1) → closed at end of day
2026-08-28 AAPL LONG €-3.33
11:30-16:00 ET · $322.02→$319.58 · 1.588 sh · breakout; news +0.12 (5) → closed at end of day
2026-08-28 TSLA SHORT €-1.90
13:30-16:00 ET · $346.15→$348.83 · 0.825 sh · breakout; news +0.03 (6) → closed at end of day
2026-08-28 AMZN LONG €-0.58
11:30-16:00 ET · $266.92→$266.33 · 1.142 sh · breakout; news +0.21 (11) → closed at end of day
2026-08-28 META LONG €-4.52
11:30-16:00 ET · $584.87→$577.90 · 0.757 sh · breakout; news +0.06 (10) → closed at end of day
2026-08-31 TSLA LONG €+1.31
12:30-16:00 ET · $365.18→$367.85 · 0.572 sh · breakout; news +0.03 (9) → closed at end of day
2026-09-01 AAPL LONG €-1.24
12:30-16:00 ET · $326.75→$325.07 · 0.860 sh · breakout; news -0.04 (8) → closed at end of day
2026-09-01 META LONG €-0.18
11:30-16:00 ET · $578.88→$578.41 · 0.461 sh · breakout; news +0.62 (1) → closed at end of day
2026-09-03 AMZN LONG €-1.68
14:30-16:00 ET · $259.51→$258.85 · 2.936 sh · breakout; news -0.02 (3) → closed at end of day
2026-09-03 QQQ LONG €-0.47
11:30-16:00 ET · $717.90→$717.47 · 1.256 sh · breakout; news +0.00 (1) → closed at end of day
2026-09-04 MSFT SHORT €+0.89
13:30-16:00 ET · $500.80→$499.78 · 1.009 sh · breakout; news +0.04 (5) → closed at end of day
2026-09-04 TSLA SHORT €-1.35
13:30-16:00 ET · $352.10→$354.02 · 0.817 sh · breakout; news -0.09 (12) → closed at end of day
2026-09-08 TSLA LONG €-0.21
12:30-16:00 ET · $368.26→$367.97 · 0.838 sh · breakout; news +0.16 (5) → closed at end of day
2026-09-09 AAPL SHORT €-8.94
11:30-14:30 ET · $312.45→$318.19 · 1.809 sh · breakout; news -0.02 (10) → stop-loss
2026-09-10 AAPL LONG €+1.70
13:30-16:00 ET · $324.90→$326.53 · 1.221 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-14 MSFT LONG €+1.52
11:30-16:00 ET · $503.75→$505.21 · 1.212 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-14 META LONG €-0.10
13:30-16:00 ET · $665.76→$665.58 · 0.617 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-15 NVDA SHORT €-3.06
13:30-16:00 ET · $211.30→$212.21 · 3.864 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-15 AMZN SHORT €+0.54
11:30-16:00 ET · $248.77→$248.49 · 2.266 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-15 QQQ SHORT €+0.99
11:30-16:00 ET · $705.52→$704.73 · 1.447 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-17 AAPL LONG €+1.38
12:30-16:00 ET · $336.10→$337.01 · 1.726 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-21 AAPL LONG €+0.34
12:30-16:00 ET · $338.61→$338.82 · 1.837 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-21 MSFT LONG €+3.94
14:30-16:00 ET · $498.43→$501.51 · 1.472 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-21 SPY LONG €+3.86
11:30-16:00 ET · $770.02→$773.37 · 1.326 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-24 TSLA LONG €-5.27
12:30-16:00 ET · $380.21→$377.83 · 2.527 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-24 META LONG €+1.85
13:30-16:00 ET · $771.46→$777.28 · 0.362 sh · breakout; news +0.00 (1) → closed at end of day
2026-09-24 QQQ LONG €+1.50
12:30-16:00 ET · $739.69→$740.91 · 1.393 sh · breakout; news +0.05 (1) → closed at end of day
2026-09-25 AAPL LONG €+1.40
12:30-16:00 ET · $340.11→$340.97 · 1.843 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-25 SPY LONG €-0.51
12:30-16:00 ET · $771.64→$771.21 · 1.332 sh · breakout; news n/a → closed at end of day
2026-09-28 MSFT LONG €-2.69
12:30-16:00 ET · $512.40→$509.37 · 1.011 sh · breakout; news +0.03 (2) → closed at end of day
2026-09-28 SPY SHORT €-4.52
11:30-11:30 ET · $764.94→$768.76 · 1.345 sh · breakout; news -0.23 (2) → stop-loss
2026-09-29 META SHORT €-9.13
12:30-12:30 ET · $718.80→$727.65 · 1.173 sh · breakout; news -0.09 (11) → stop-loss
2026-09-29 SPY SHORT €-1.89
11:30-16:00 ET · $762.84→$764.44 · 1.338 sh · breakout; news -0.20 (3) → closed at end of day
2026-09-30 AMZN LONG €-4.33
11:30-16:00 ET · $251.72→$248.98 · 1.791 sh · breakout; news -0.00 (8) → closed at end of day
2026-10-05 NVDA LONG €+0.92
14:30-16:00 ET · $238.70→$239.06 · 2.828 sh · breakout; news +0.32 (6) → closed at end of day
2026-10-05 AMZN LONG €-5.58
13:30-16:00 ET · $253.63→$251.47 · 2.908 sh · breakout; news +0.17 (16) → closed at end of day
2026-10-05 QQQ LONG €+1.57
13:30-16:00 ET · $754.62→$755.95 · 1.330 sh · breakout; news +0.11 (3) → closed at end of day
2026-10-06 AMZN LONG €+1.89
11:30-16:00 ET · $255.37→$256.28 · 2.330 sh · breakout; news +0.29 (7) → closed at end of day
2026-10-07 MSFT LONG €-3.39
14:30-16:00 ET · $531.74→$529.43 · 1.655 sh · breakout; news +0.06 (10) → closed at end of day
2026-10-07 AMZN LONG €+6.65
11:30-16:00 ET · $256.98→$259.83 · 2.629 sh · breakout; news +0.28 (9) → closed at end of day
2026-10-07 SPY LONG €+0.18
12:30-16:00 ET · $776.83→$776.98 · 1.290 sh · breakout; news -0.04 (6) → closed at end of day
2026-10-08 SPY SHORT €-1.02
14:30-16:00 ET · $773.17→$774.04 · 1.301 sh · breakout; news -0.03 (7) → closed at end of day
2026-10-09 AAPL LONG €+3.54
11:30-16:00 ET · $334.90→$336.56 · 2.391 sh · breakout; news +0.08 (18) → closed at end of day
2026-10-09 MSFT LONG €+1.42
11:30-16:00 ET · $533.78→$534.97 · 1.333 sh · breakout; news +0.03 (18) → closed at end of day
2026-10-09 AMZN LONG €+5.05
11:30-16:00 ET · $260.11→$262.43 · 2.443 sh · breakout; news +0.11 (13) → closed at end of day
2026-10-09 SPY LONG €+1.31
11:30-16:00 ET · $777.24→$778.37 · 1.293 sh · breakout; news -0.05 (7) → closed at end of day

How this was tested

Real Yahoo Finance 1-hour bars, 2026-07-09 to 2026-10-09 (66 sessions). 5- and 15-min data only goes back 60 days, so 1-hour bars were needed to cover 3 months. Rules: break of the first hour's range, confirmed by VWAP, EMA 9/21 trend and RSI; news filter from 2200 real Google News headlines scored with VADER (362/528 stock-days had pre-open news; the rest traded without the filter). 1% risk per trade, stop at the other side of the first-hour range, target 2× risk, always flat by the close, 0.02% slippage, no commission. Account in USD converted to EUR with real daily EUR/USD rates (start 1.1422, end 1.1206); Trading 212's FX fee (~0.15%) isn't included. Hourly bars are coarse: if a bar touched both stop and target, it was counted as a stop. Past results don't predict the future.